The price survived first pullback and has drifted back up from 307 to the 320's, in the process wiping away yet another opportunity by retail traders to short bitcoin. Shorts remain above 20k which is interesting since we know that 8k of that has opened in this price region and will close if the price challenges the previous highs in the 330's, probably propelling us towards the upper 3xx's in the process.
Let's see what the next week brings. Breaching 320 across the exchanges was a clear technical green light that the price can now break upwards.
If one were to believe that 2014 was a bear market engineered to allow new market participants with deep pockets to acquire a significant bitcoin position, then what follows is a setup to allow them to a) increase the value of their paper holdings and b) allow them to get out the market at a much higher price.
I believe the halving will be the springboard for the next bubble. It is tempting to believe that the presence of leveraged shorting will diminish such a price surge. But bitcoin is still constrained by the same wonderful limited supply that means that if demand vastly exceeds on-exchange supply then the price must explode.