time to start analyzing seriously BCCUSD and BCCBTC movements once again, i expect important trade opportunities to open up. some preliminary observations:
1. BCCUSD seems to be the more important metric, BCC as percentage of BTC moves down if USDBTC goes up and viceversa, while BCCUSD remains relatively steady.
2. BCCUSD absolute floor (after initial dump on aug. 2) is $200. thereafter it has gone no lower than $290, and traded mostly in the $300 band.
3. movement can be swift: it went from $296 on aug. 16 to ATH of $758 three days later.
4. i judge hitting 2xATH to be probable in 2017, hitting new ATL to be improbable.
5. nevertheless dumps might be on the horizon, as BTC holders finally acquire ability to split their coins / get access to them. i take dumps to be more likely before a BTC fork, afterwards the virtues of BCC will become even more apparent.
5. thus accumulating on the $300 band seems relatively safe, if using fiat. trading BTC for BCC is riskier as BTC may decouple and continue rising fast.
calling on you now for some real trading insights . . .