Some relevent tweets from seweso:
About a month back, I spent a lot of time in the btcchat Slack trying to get people to critically think about Craig Wright's claims, after noticing that he seemed to be really good at convincing nontechnical people that he knew what he was talking about, and was developing a following among big blockers. I worried that if left unchecked, this would make big blockers as a whole look bad.
I was not very successful in my attempts. I may have convinced a few people, but those who spoke up in the slack seemed remarkably determined to defend Craig, even though they weren't able to explain/understand the technical arguments that he was making.
As I feared, after 'The Future of Bitcoin' conference and the youtube video of Craig's talk being made public, the reputation of this conference and of big blockers is being damaged.
Aside from the stuff with Craig, big blockers are in a pretty good place. The industry looks like it's about to finally fork away from Core. That's the most important thing that could possibly happen in the near term by far. The Craig stuff is probably not a big enough deal to scare enough moderates with technical backgrounds away that they flock back to Core, but the more of a big-block spokesperson Craig becomes the more likely that becomes.
For non-technical people who feel drawn to Craig's claims, I suggest you pick a technical person who you trust and try really hard to figure out what they think. I thought it would be enough that Peter R. and Tom Z. didn't see anything in Craig's selfish mining arguments, but apparently not.
Justus Ranvier seems technically competent. I haven't heard him comment on Craig's arguments. If he told you that they didn't hold up, would that help? If not, what would it take to convince you that Craig isn't a good technical spokesman for big-blockers (and therefore, probably not a good spokesman in general if he keeps confidently making flawed technical arguments).