We should try to keep track of committed hash rate. Assuming KnC support (they supported XT), then at least 36% of the hash rate is already committed.
It would be great to publicly track and publish the commitment to the 2MB fork on /r/btc as it grows to 51%. If we can claim that >51% of the hash rate is committed to a 2MB fork and to using Bitcoin Classic, it both changes the discussion and paints this as a win.
Core would also be backed into a corner, they could either cave and fork to 2MB as well, which abandons their scaling roadmap commitment
and every prior claim they have made. Or they could refuse to change the cap and lose every single miner. Once miners switch to Bitcoin Classic it is very unlikely they would switch back because the developers on Bitcoin Classic are committed to real scaling solutions (IBLT, etc) that benefit miners by reducing propagation delays.
I'll try to post updates on the hash rate commitment as I come across it. If anyone finds a new committed miner feel free to either post here or PM me and I'll add it to a running list.
The current support is 31.5% composed of:
- Bitmain/Antpool - 26% (4 day average at blockchain.info)
- BW.COM - 5% (4 day average at blockchain.info)
- HAOBTC.com - 1.5% (claimed 13K Th/s of current estimated 900K Th/s)
- Genesis Mining - ?
- Marshall Long - ?
[doublepost=1452648119][/doublepost]Regarding BU, even if Bitcoin Classic is the mechanism that breaks core's hold over the miners, I still think there is a strong place for BU.
Miners could prefer to run Bitcoin Classic in order to stay sync'ed on implementation and scaling improvements, while BU could be used by users to indicate their preferences. It also keeps with Gavin's stated preference of seeing multiple implementation. Bitcoin Classic could become the main core of BU, with BU simply offering user exposed preferences on top.