I agree with what you wrote,
@molecular. But it's also very clear who's ok with a split (multicoiners) and who's not. I wouldn't be surprised if Amaury is ok with another split in may next year, and then another one november next year.
I'm not ok with splits.
I absolutely *hate* splits because of the huge cost and loss of resources / network effect and so on. Splits are sad to watch und gut-wrenching for the "investor". They almost always are a "step back" (or three). It also has a huge effect on value. Core boys like to argue the BTC/BCH split hasn't harmed value but I think it has. I think had BTC let go of the blocksize limit in 2017 or any time before that) it's value would've shot up even more. Talking 50k or more. I think had the BCH/BSV split not occurred we'd be around 0.2, maybe even 0.3 BCH/BTC now, talking about the flippening we all once wanted and the BTC mempool and fee levels.
The thing is:
forking is the way governance (the way rules are changed) is currently implemented and lived in Bitcoin. I think Satoshis idea was that yes: PoW would be used for this purpose ("any rules and incentives can be enforced in this way") and not just for transaction ordering.
However I think Satoshi imagined the weaker chain would quickly die off and his original DAA pretty much guaranteed this. Too bad (or good? otherwise we wouldn't have BCH) the DAA itself can be changed as part of the forking changeset.
At that point (after BTC/BHC split)
I thought another split was unlikely unless there was damn good reason. I didn't think "ego" or "timeline" would be damn good reasons for a split, but obviously they are and after the fact it seems the reasons might be more fundamental ("no change" policy on SV side)?
I'm trying to understand your side here. You seem to imply that you're "not ok" with splitting the chain. Ok well, that's kinda like not being ok with the cold weather outside, isn't it? It's outside of your control: anyone can fork off at any time (permissionlessness).
So *actually* if you want to re-enact a no-split policy, shouldn't you "fix" exactly one rule in SV (and put it at the top of the list in the "social contract" or "our vision" section?): the original satoshi DAA? It prevents splits, no? So it does what you want. Or maybe you're only "not ok" with a split if the rules you like are being kept? In that case: good luck forcing satoshi DAA or any other rule on the dissenting chain.
Satoshi DAA would also prevent the problem of "malicious attack by (repeated) split" (which we might or might not be looking at here, I don't know). To "fix" it we'd need the community to stand united behind it and well: I don't see that happening and it would be only as permanent as the idea is in the heads of the people.
So: how do we get out of this mess? I want "one coin" as much as any "maximalist", but how to achieve this in the light of technological experimentation / innnovation, malicious attacks, greed, scams and so on? Is patience the key? Persistent work in all coins to try to make it "the one" (competition)? Propaganda? The loha?
EDIT: wanted to add one more thing about governance by fork: I actually thought one chain would always be a clear winner in the "economic" arena. The fight would be fought on exchanges. Turns out most people don't do that: they'd rather safely wait on the sidelines and watch. It seems not only miners, but also "investors" are reluctant to execute their power to meaningful extent. I think this is pretty sad:
if you don't stand for something, you'll fall for anything.