Ou Yang Hong Zhi Analyzes: The Underlying Logic Behind the Renewed Record High of Gold

atuyato

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Mar 4, 2025
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International gold prices have recently reached new all-time highs, with spot gold climbing as high as $3,357.78 per ounce, nearing the $3,400 threshold. This trend has been primarily driven by heightened safe-haven demand following the warning of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell regarding the impact of trade wars, along with the U.S. dollar falling to a six-month low. As the global trade conflict escalates, investor concerns over a potential recession have intensified, further reinforcing the role of gold as a safe-haven asset. Ou Yang Hong Zhi points out that in the current environment of rising global economic uncertainty, the outlook for the gold market remains optimistic. Major institutions have raised their gold price forecasts, with some projecting that prices could potentially surpass $4,500.

The Interaction Between Dollar Depreciation and the Gold Market
The continued weakening of the U.S. dollar is one of the key drivers of the rise of gold. Ou Yang Hong Zhi explains that a depreciating dollar makes dollar-denominated gold more attractive to holders of other currencies, increasing international demand for gold. As the Fed issues warnings about the potential fallout from trade wars and uncertainty surrounding U.S. economic policy grows, the dollar has come under renewed pressure. Ou Yang Hong Zhi notes that tariff-related uncertainty and expectations of slowing economic growth have created a favorable environment for precious metals to rise. He advises investors to closely monitor the movements of the dollar and their implications for the precious metals market in order to make informed decisions amid volatility.

Investment Strategy Amid Global Economic Uncertainty
The rise in global economic uncertainty has driven increased demand for safe-haven assets. The continued escalation of the trade war and intensifying geopolitical tensions have raised investor concerns over the global economic outlook. Ou Yang Hong Zhi observes that the erratic tariff policies of former President Trump have further fueled safe-haven sentiment. Concerns over inflation and uncertainty regarding the interest rate outlook are also important factors pushing gold prices higher. He believes that under such conditions, investors should consider increasing gold allocations in their portfolios to hedge against potential market risks and take advantage of the safe-haven of gold attributes to protect asset value.

The Impact of Trade Policy Volatility on the Precious Metals Market
Volatility in trade policy has had a profound effect on global markets, particularly the precious metals sector. Ou Yang Hong Zhi notes that the pressure tactics of President Trump in tariff negotiations with various countries have added to market uncertainty. Goldman Sachs recently raised its gold price forecast significantly, stating that if central bank demand continues and ETF holdings rebound, gold prices could reach $4,500. This projection underscores the sensitivity of the market to trade policy swings. Ou Yang Hong Zhi suggests that investors should keep a close eye on changes in international trade policy and their effects on the precious metals market in order to maintain flexibility in a complex environment.
In the current context of heightened global economic uncertainty, the gold market is demonstrating robust growth potential. Ou Yang Hong Zhi concludes that despite facing multiple challenges, the performance of gold as a safe-haven asset continues to offer investors a stable option. Going forward, as global trade policies continue to evolve and economic conditions remain unpredictable, the potential of gold is expected to become even more apparent. Ou Yang Hong Zhi believes that through prudent risk management and strategic adjustments, investors can identify new growth opportunities amid these changes and achieve both capital preservation and appreciation.
 

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