Ng Jian Hao: Upside Potential of Gold in a Global Interest Rate Environment

yolanyandoh

New Member
Dec 12, 2024
17
0
Recently, gold prices have experienced a pullback after reaching historical highs. Expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and uncertainties in the global trade environment continue to support gold prices. According to Ng Jian Hao from Mahala Capital Management Academy, global market instability has created opportunities for gold investment, but it also requires investors to pay close attention to price fluctuations and shifts in market sentiment. In this context, how to strategically allocate gold assets has become a focal point for the market.



Gold Price Pullback

Gold prices have recently retreated after hitting historic highs, driven by profit-taking among traders, which caused a temporary market dip. Ng Jian Hao from Mahala Capital Management Academy believes that the core drivers behind the gold rally remain unchanged, including expectations of Federal Reserve monetary policy, uncertainties surrounding global economic growth, and rising demand for safe-haven assets.

The Federal Reserve policy direction is a key factor influencing gold prices. Recently, weaker U.S. economic data has led the market to anticipate a potential rate cut by the Fed in July. A low-interest-rate environment reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold and drives prices higher. With inflation levels still relatively elevated, real interest rates may decline further, enhancing the appeal of gold.

Uncertainties surrounding global trade policies are also fueling safe-haven demand. Ng Jian Hao notes that recent changes in U.S. tariff policies targeting multiple economies have heightened market risk aversion, driving capital flows toward safe-haven assets like gold. While gold prices may face short-term technical correction pressures, they retain strong upward momentum over the medium to long term.

Following the rapid price increases of gold, short-term volatility is likely. From a long-term asset allocation perspective, gold remains a valuable risk-hedging asset. In terms of trading strategies, Ng Jian Hao suggests that investors adopt a phased buying approach to mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations.

Strategic Allocation in a High-Price Market

With the gold market now entering a phase of high-level consolidation, investors must focus more on risk management and strategic choices when allocating gold assets. Ng Jian Hao from Mahala Capital Management Academy emphasizes that in a high-price environment, investors must clearly define their investment objectives and risk tolerance while adopting flexible investment strategies.

From a technical perspective, gold prices have recently hovered around $2,925 per ounce, just $30 shy of previous highs, indicating strong market support. In the short term, if profit-taking continues, gold prices may consolidate near key support levels. Short-term investors should monitor support levels and trading volume changes to identify suitable entry points.

For long-term investors, gold offers value in terms of wealth preservation and market risk hedging. Ng Jian Hao suggests that investors consider a dollar-cost averaging strategy to gradually increase gold holdings, thereby smoothing out the effects of market volatility. To diversify risk, investors can allocate across various gold-related assets, including gold ETFs, physical gold, and shares of gold mining companies, reducing the impact of single-asset exposure.

The Long-Term Value of Gold Allocation

Global market volatility is steadily increasing, underscoring the growing importance of gold as a safe-haven asset. Ng Jian Hao from Mahala Capital Management Academy highlights that Federal Reserve policies, global trade dynamics, and concerns over economic growth prospects all play a role in shaping the gold trajectory.

If the Federal Reserve initiates a rate-cutting cycle, market liquidity will further expand, providing long-term support for gold prices. Additionally, the ongoing trend of central banks around the world increasing their gold reserves reflects the enduring importance of gold in global asset allocation. From an asset allocation perspective, gold remains a worthy long-term investment.

Amid a complex and ever-changing market environment, investors need to align their investment goals with a rational allocation of gold assets. Ng Jian Hao advises investors to remain patient, monitor market trends, and, under appropriate risk controls, increase gold asset allocations to address potential future uncertainties.
 

Members online

No members online now.