- Dec 16, 2015
- 2,806
- 6,088
@hellobitc0inworld : I believe you are correct that any Nakamoto-style SHA256 hard fork would start out at a low valuation.
I don't see that as a bad thing for several reasons:
1. Having a low valuation makes the fork less interesting initially for opposing miners (they can earn more by regular mining on their fork than attacking). This is important because the difficulty on such a fork would have to start low, unless it has arranged for a significant % of existing hashpower to switch over to it immediately (this will not happen under current circumstances, given the centralization of mining)
2. In the beginning, a low price can attract a lot more buyers and broaden the economic base a little. This helps to strengthen the growth of mining on the spinoff chain.
3. It may be just my impression, but the incumbents have alienated some significant players in the commercial corner of the ecosystem. I could imagine some exchanges and pools stepping (and even some ASIC mining operations) stepping up to support a viable fork that retains the POW.
For them, it would offer business opportunities - fork arbitrage, winning additional miners who support that cause etc.
It becomes a whole lot more difficult for the rest of the ecosystem to adapt quickly when the POW is changed (not that I'm saying a POW fork is not viable - it will find support too, but adoption may be significantly slower, and there is no keel-over effect possible where significant parts of the existing mining power defects).
I don't see that as a bad thing for several reasons:
1. Having a low valuation makes the fork less interesting initially for opposing miners (they can earn more by regular mining on their fork than attacking). This is important because the difficulty on such a fork would have to start low, unless it has arranged for a significant % of existing hashpower to switch over to it immediately (this will not happen under current circumstances, given the centralization of mining)
2. In the beginning, a low price can attract a lot more buyers and broaden the economic base a little. This helps to strengthen the growth of mining on the spinoff chain.
3. It may be just my impression, but the incumbents have alienated some significant players in the commercial corner of the ecosystem. I could imagine some exchanges and pools stepping (and even some ASIC mining operations) stepping up to support a viable fork that retains the POW.
For them, it would offer business opportunities - fork arbitrage, winning additional miners who support that cause etc.
It becomes a whole lot more difficult for the rest of the ecosystem to adapt quickly when the POW is changed (not that I'm saying a POW fork is not viable - it will find support too, but adoption may be significantly slower, and there is no keel-over effect possible where significant parts of the existing mining power defects).
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